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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.9% 48.1% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: UConn Huskies -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Siva * 42 7-12 0-3 5-8 4 7 3 2 3 19 20 -
P. Knowles * 42 6-15 3-10 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 15 3 -
T. Jennings * 39 5-11 0-0 6-10 10 1 1 4 1 16 20 -
C. Smith * 31 2-6 0-2 0-2 5 2 0 0 4 4 1 -
S. Van Treese * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
K. Kuric 29 6-8 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 15 11 -
M. Marra 28 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 4 -
G. Goode 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Smith 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -
E. Justice 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker * 47 7-23 2-10 4-6 4 4 2 0 1 20 6 -
J. Lamb * 44 9-17 1-7 2-2 6 3 1 1 0 21 15 -
R. Smith * 35 1-9 0-2 3-3 12 0 3 0 1 5 10 -
A. Oriakhi * 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 6 5 -
T. Olander * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Napier 37 8-16 5-11 2-6 3 3 2 0 4 23 11 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Okwandu 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Beverly 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
N. Giffey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter