Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Smith * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| Tim Steed * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Steven Shepp * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nedeljko Golubovic * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Johnson * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bracken Funk | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan Wills | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Bennie Rhodes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Oliver * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 42 | - |
| Wil Carter * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Justin Graham * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Keith Shamburger * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Matt Ballard * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Calvin Douglas | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Joe Henson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Garrett Ton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
* = starter