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USC Trojans 73
@
Arizona Wildcats 82
2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 90.4% 9.6% - ✗
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.3 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% - ✓

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +9 (82-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simmons * 35 4-6 0-1 0-1 1 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
M. Jones * 33 1-6 1-3 3-6 2 1 2 0 1 6 4 -
A. Stepheson * 31 2-5 0-0 3-6 11 1 1 0 2 7 13 -
J. Fontan * 27 3-6 3-5 3-4 1 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
N. Vucevic * 25 8-16 0-1 2-5 7 2 0 0 2 18 9 -
D. Smith 32 5-12 2-7 2-3 4 4 1 0 0 14 11 -
G. Jackson 17 4-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 3 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Fogg * 31 4-7 0-1 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 8 9 -
S. Hill * 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 2 1 -
L. Jones * 21 6-6 2-2 3-6 3 2 0 0 1 17 15 -
J. Perry * 21 3-4 2-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 8 12 -
D. Williams * 18 6-6 3-3 5-8 2 0 0 0 2 20 14 -
J. Mayes 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Horne 17 2-3 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 1 2 5 5 -
K. Parrom 16 3-4 1-1 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 10 11 -
A. Jacobson 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
B. Lavender 9 1-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Natyazhko 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter