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2011-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Pennsylvania Quakers Spread Result
Elo 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% - โœ“
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“

Actual: Pennsylvania Quakers +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Mangano * 35 8-16 2-5 2-2 8 1 0 3 0 20 16 -
Porter Braswell * 31 7-11 1-3 4-5 6 0 2 0 2 19 14 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 29 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
Austin Morgan * 29 1-7 1-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 5 -1 -
Reggie Willhite * 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 0 -
Rhett Anderson 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Isaiah Salafia 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
Sam Martin 12 1-5 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
Michael Grace 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Brian Katz 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jack Eggleston * 37 6-11 1-2 0-0 8 2 1 1 4 13 10 -
Zack Rosen * 36 6-11 1-4 3-4 1 5 0 0 3 16 8 -
Miles Jackson-Cartwright * 34 4-9 2-2 8-9 2 3 2 0 1 18 15 -
Tyler Bernardini * 30 1-8 0-4 8-8 7 0 0 0 1 10 8 -
Conor Turley * 19 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 6 5 -
Rob Belcore 22 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 1 6 -
Fran Dougherty 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 6 -
Mike Howlett 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Cameron Gunter 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter