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2011-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +13.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.0% 95.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“

Actual: Princeton Tigers +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dockery Walker * 31 2-3 0-0 4-11 7 0 0 1 0 8 13 -
Tucker Halpern * 29 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
Sean McGonagill * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -5 -
Peter Sullivan * 18 2-7 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
Garrett Leffelman * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Matt Sullivan 27 7-11 1-4 7-9 4 0 0 0 1 22 14 -
Josh Biber 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Adrian Williams 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Andrew McCarthy 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
Tyler Ponticelli 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Christopher Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Doug Davis * 26 6-10 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 14 8 -
Dan Mavraides * 25 4-7 3-4 2-4 6 4 0 0 4 13 12 -
Ian Hummer * 21 5-9 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
Patrick Saunders * 19 1-4 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Brendan Connolly * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 3 6 -
Kareem Maddox 26 6-9 0-0 3-3 14 3 3 2 1 15 27 -
Mack Darrow 22 1-5 0-2 3-3 1 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Ben Hazel 11 0-2 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T.J. Bray 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Bobby Foley 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Tom Noonan 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Daniel Edwards 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Chris Clement 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
John Comfort 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
Jimmy Sherburne 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter