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2011-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% -
Margin 10.4% 89.6% +11.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.9% 65.1% -
Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Log Adjusted 4.6% 95.4% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Walker * 31 2-3 0-0 4-11 7 0 0 1 0 8 13 -
T. Halpern * 29 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 12 7 -
S. McGonagill * 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -5 -
P. Sullivan * 18 2-7 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
G. Leffelman * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
M. Sullivan 27 7-11 1-4 7-9 4 0 0 0 1 22 14 -
J. Biber 18 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Williams 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
A. McCarthy 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 6 -
T. Ponticelli 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Taylor 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 26 6-10 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 14 8 -
D. Mavraides * 25 4-7 3-4 2-4 6 4 0 0 4 13 12 -
I. Hummer * 21 5-9 0-0 3-6 4 0 0 0 2 13 6 -
P. Saunders * 19 1-4 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
B. Connolly * 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 3 6 -
K. Maddox 26 6-9 0-0 3-3 14 3 3 2 1 15 27 -
M. Darrow 22 1-5 0-2 3-3 1 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
B. Hazel 11 0-2 0-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T.J. Bray 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Foley 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
T. Noonan 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Edwards 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Clement 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Comfort 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
J. Sherburne 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter