Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffery Taylor * | 38 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 17 | - |
| John Jenkins * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Lance Goulbourne * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Brad Tinsley * | 34 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Festus Ezeli * | 15 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Steve Tchiengang | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Fuller | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Rod Odom | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ravern Johnson * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 37 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Kodi Augustus * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Riley Benock * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Reik | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bryant | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shaun Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter