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2011-01-27

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 31.2% 68.8% +4.4 (25.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% -

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +30 (82-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Borum * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 12 16 -
K. Nitoto * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 9 10 -
P. Martin * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 4 4 9 -
E. Berry * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Brown * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
K. Bradshaw 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 5 6 6 -
B.J. Shearry 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 1 8 17 -
D. Cowlah 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
D. Taylor 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 5 9 -
A. Saharan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lowenthal * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 3 2 12 -
J. Harden * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 5 0 2 22 32 -
M. Payne * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 3 16 19 -
R. Sypkens * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 16 20 -
E. Miller * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
R. Howley 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 10 19 -
J. Ritchart 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 12 -
A. Tiffin 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Les 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
M. Kurtz 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter