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2011-01-27

Model Predictions

Model UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros North Dakota Fighting Hawks Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.8% 83.2% - โœ“
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.6% 70.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“

Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +9 (91-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Provost * 37 4-11 4-6 1-2 6 5 2 1 2 13 14 -
Matt Mierzycki * 32 1-4 0-0 5-8 6 3 0 0 1 7 11 -
Aaron Urbanus * 26 6-12 5-7 3-6 1 3 0 0 1 20 11 -
Julius Hearn * 26 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 1 -
Enrique Mason * 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Jared Maree 26 4-7 2-4 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 13 7 -
Ruben Cabrera 20 6-8 1-2 7-8 7 1 0 0 3 20 17 -
Josh Cleveland 14 2-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 7 7 -
Kieondre Arkwright 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Schuler * 35 6-10 5-5 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 19 10 -
T. Huff * 27 6-9 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 15 8 -
B. Brekke * 25 6-7 0-0 5-7 11 1 1 1 1 17 23 -
J. Webb * 25 4-6 1-1 1-2 2 8 1 0 2 10 13 -
P. Mitchell * 22 3-4 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 3 1 9 11 -
A. Anderson 26 3-5 0-1 7-8 2 5 1 0 0 13 16 -
C. Clausen 21 1-5 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
D. Benter 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 3 -
J. Allard 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Archer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mathison 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter