Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Morris | 40 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| B. McLimans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Morris * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 27 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Z. Novak * | 37 | 6-9 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Smotrycz * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Douglass | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Horford | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Vogrich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Christian | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas * | 37 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 13 | - |
| K. Appling * | 35 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Green * | 34 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Roe * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| D. Summers * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Kebler | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Thornton | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Nix | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sherman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter