Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +3 (52-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 36 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 35 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 33 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. Cole * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Richmond | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| B. Paul | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Leonard | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Watford * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 35 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Rivers * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Pritchard * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Sheehey * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Elston | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Oladipo | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Roth | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Moore | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter