Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Zeller * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Dexter Strickland * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| John Henson * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Larry Drew | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Justin Knox | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grant * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 19 | - |
| D. Scott * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| G. Adams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 27 | - |
| J. Gamble * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thomas | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| R. Brown | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Akpejiori | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| E. Swoope | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter