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2011-01-26

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 62.2% 37.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 65.2% 34.8% -3.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.4% 39.6% -
Efficiency 84.2% 15.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.7% 13.3% -
Log Adjusted 86.4% 13.6% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Zeller * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 9 15 -
D. Strickland * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 2 12 18 -
J. Henson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 4 3 8 17 -
H. Barnes * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 13 16 -
K. Marshall * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 6 8 -
R. Bullock Jr. 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 8 14 -
L. Drew II 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 4 11 -
J. Knox 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 8 10 -
L. McDonald 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 9 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Grant * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 5 17 19 -
D. Scott * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 3 0 2 18 26 -
G. Adams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 12 14 -
R. Johnson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 0 11 27 -
J. Gamble * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 3 -
A. Thomas 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 12 17 -
R. Brown 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Akpejiori 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
E. Swoope 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter