Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 36 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. White * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette * | 39 | 14-24 | 5-8 | 10-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 20 | - |
| Jackson Emery * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Noah Hartsock * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Davies * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Charles Abouo | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Anderson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Rogers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter