Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +13 (71-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 37 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 36 | 8-20 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 15 | - |
| B. White * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fredette * | 39 | 14-24 | 5-8 | 10-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 20 | - |
| J. Emery * | 39 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| N. Hartsock * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Collinsworth * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Davies * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Abouo | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| S. Rogers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter