Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Wallace * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Chris Denson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Gabriel * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Earnest Ross | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Adrian Forbes | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Tony Neysmith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Langford | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ty Armstrong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Drum | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delvon Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Rotnei Clarke * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Marshawn Powell * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 27 | - |
| Julysses Nobles * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Marcus Britt * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Michael Sanchez | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Rickey Scott | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jemal Farmer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Glenn Bryant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mardracus Wade | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marvell Waithe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter