Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamar Ragland | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Marquiz Baker | 27 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Tony Eackles | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Alex Savannah | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Kendrick McDonald | 20 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Keith Searcy | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Korey Sanders | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Willis Brownlee | 15 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ian Francis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Starks | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Michael Martin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramaine Butler | 32 | 11-17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Robert Sanders | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 22 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| Shareif Adamu | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Tramayne Moorer | 18 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Christopher Duncan | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Harvey | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - |
| Kenderek Washington | 12 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Ivory White | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ivan Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kaylim Noel | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter