Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fay * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 24 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| M. Cleveland * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Freeman * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| M. Seck * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Crowder | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Teague | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Bocot | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Drinkard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hill * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Lewis | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| A. Rubin | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| T. Blue | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. Mishler | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Clark | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter