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2011-01-23

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 35.6% 64.4% +3.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.5% 31.5% -
Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.1% 29.9% -
Log Adjusted 70.5% 29.5% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Grant * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 23 27 -
D. Scott * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 4 10 13 -
R. Johnson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 5 1 20 40 -
G. Adams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 2 7 -
E. Swoope * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Thomas 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
J. Gamble 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 4 12 -
R. Brown 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 3 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Harrow * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 3 0 2 5 17 -
S. Wood * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 11 15 -
T. Smith * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 1 16 25 -
R. Howell * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 17 23 -
C.J. Williams * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 6 13 -
L. Brown 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 10 20 -
C.J. Leslie 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
D. Painter 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
J. Gonzalez 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter