Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✓ (29.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -32 (46-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Taylor * | 32 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Keaton Nankivil * | 31 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Josh Gasser * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 25 | - |
| Tim Jarmusz * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jon Leuer * | 21 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz | 24 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Brett Valentyn | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Robert Wilson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Ryan Evans | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.P. Gavinski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Brust | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wquinton Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Duje Dukan | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Berggren | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Michael Thompson * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Mike Capocci | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Hearn | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Austin Nichols | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter