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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 8.1% 91.9% -
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -
Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 42.1% 57.9% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 6 -
L. Sikma 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 2 1 3 29 44 -
N. Mitrovic 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 2 2 -
K. Knutson 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 12 -
E. Waterford 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
T. Douglas 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 13 15 -
D. Rodgers 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Riley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Nicholas 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roquemore 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 1 1 6 15 -
M. Trasolini 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 14 23 -
B. Dowdell 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 22 27 -
T. Payne 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 0 1 9 18 -
K. Foster 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 3 19 24 -
M. Santos 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 0 4 -
J. McArthur 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
N. Harrison 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
R. Cowels III 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter