Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Durrell Summers * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Delvon Roe * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kalin Lucas * | 30 | 3-16 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Korie Lucious | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mike Kebler | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JaJuan Johnson * | 39 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| E'Twaun Moore * | 39 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 32 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 31 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Travis Carroll * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter