Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 34 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 9-11 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 34 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Hanson | 34 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Love | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Lewis | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| W. Donahue | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 14 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Eisenhardt | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Daniel | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| V. McGhee | 31 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J. Greene | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Lyles | 26 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Jiles IV | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Cody | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Quinn | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hayward-Mayhew | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Jacobs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Eteuati | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter