Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dairese Gary * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Phillip McDonald * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Tony Snell | 31 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Chad Adams | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chace Stanback * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Derrick Jasper * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Marshall * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Brice Massamba * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tre'Von Willis | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter