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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 81.9% 18.1% -
Bradley-Terry 70.4% 29.6% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 21.0% 79.0% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.7% 84.3% -
Log Adjusted 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson * 36 4-12 1-6 0-0 4 5 2 1 2 9 7 -
A. M'Baye * 35 6-13 0-1 1-1 7 3 1 1 2 13 10 -
P. Cruz * 29 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 10 4 -
J. Luster * 29 2-5 1-3 1-3 1 1 0 0 3 6 0 -
D. Thiam * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
A. Waddell 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Gibson 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Hudson 13 0-4 0-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -2 -
D. Harrison 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bouedo 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 37 6-10 2-3 3-3 5 4 0 0 2 17 14 -
E. Washington * 36 4-7 0-1 3-4 6 9 0 1 1 11 19 -
T. Fow * 24 5-8 3-4 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 14 14 -
T. Fletcher * 24 4-7 3-6 2-2 1 3 5 0 0 13 15 -
T. Broekhuis * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
D. Brooks 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 2 3 3 -
Z. Bohannon 17 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 7 5 -
M. Fitzgerald 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 3 -
T. Stewart 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Hempsey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Brakeville 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter