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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Towson Tigers UNC Wilmington Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Brown * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 14 16 -
Isaiah Philmore * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 3 7 15 -
Braxton Dupree * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 14 21 -
RaShawn Polk * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 10 14 -
Brian Morris * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 3 12 -
Dre Conner 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 12 16 -
Erique Gumbs 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 2 1 0 2 -
Danny Quinn 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UNC Wilmington Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Rendleman * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 17 0 0 2 2 23 40 -
Chad Tomko * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 16 22 -
Donte Morales * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 6 10 -
Ahmad Grant * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
Trevor Deloach * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 9 -
Tanner Milson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 11 -
Matt Wilson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 2 3 9 -
Darryl Felder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter