Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Howard * | 34 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Erik Rush * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Danny Piepoli * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Cody Anderson * | 22 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Rod Singleton * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Casey Trujeque | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Allou | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Reid | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Budinich | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art Steward * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Will Cherry * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Derek Selvig * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Stockton * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Brian Qvale * | 27 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mathias Ward | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Vaughn Autry | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Jamar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter