Model Predictions
| Model | Richmond Spiders | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.6% | 15.4% | -9.4 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen -16 (68-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Smith * | 31 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Anderson * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Geriot * | 28 | 8-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| D. Brothers * | 28 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Harper * | 24 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| C. Lindsay | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| F. Martel | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| D. Garrett | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Duinker | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Williams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Robbins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gurley * | 35 | 9-22 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 15 | - |
| J. Farrell * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| G. Correia * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Vinson * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Carter * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Carter | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| F. Riley | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Putney | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Bailey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Morgan | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter