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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 41.5% 58.5% - ✓

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +6 (67-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Graham * 39 6-16 1-4 7-10 6 4 0 0 0 20 14 -
Wil Carter * 36 4-6 0-0 2-4 4 0 0 0 3 10 5 -
Keith Shamburger * 35 3-13 3-6 3-4 1 2 1 1 0 12 4 -
Adrian Oliver * 31 4-11 0-3 2-4 4 2 2 0 3 10 4 -
Brylle Kamen * 13 1-9 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
Matt Ballard 27 0-1 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 1 1 0 10 -
Calvin Douglas 15 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 3 -2 -
Garrett Ton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Henson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Johnson * 38 3-14 2-9 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 8 -3 -
V. Joaquim * 36 1-5 0-0 4-6 8 1 0 2 2 6 10 -
B. Amis * 32 9-11 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 4 2 20 21 -
J. Thomas * 28 6-11 0-0 2-2 14 3 0 1 2 14 19 -
H. Thompson * 28 2-5 0-2 3-7 1 3 1 0 2 7 5 -
B. Barnes 15 1-4 0-3 2-3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
J. Ostrowski 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
T. Wiseman 9 1-1 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
D. Kurtz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter