Model Predictions
| Model | Brown Bears | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.6% | 86.4% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +8 (59-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill * | 40 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Peter Sullivan * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tucker Halpern * | 29 | 4-17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Garrett Leffelman * | 26 | 0-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Andrew McCarthy * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dockery Walker | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Matt Sullivan | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adrian Williams | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Christopher Taylor | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Mangano * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jeremiah Kreisberg * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Willhite * | 29 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Porter Braswell * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Austin Morgan * | 28 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Rhett Anderson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Sam Martin | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Raffi Mantilla | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Grace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Salafia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jesse Pritchard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter