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2011-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.8% 85.2% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 61.6% 38.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +8 (59-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. McGonagill * 40 4-12 3-9 0-0 11 5 0 0 7 11 8 -
P. Sullivan * 32 3-13 1-3 4-5 7 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
T. Halpern * 29 4-17 2-5 1-2 4 0 2 0 0 11 0 -
G. Leffelman * 26 0-11 0-3 2-2 7 0 1 1 0 2 0 -
A. McCarthy * 13 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
D. Walker 19 4-5 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 1 0 9 11 -
M. Sullivan 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 1 -
T. Ponticelli 11 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
A. Williams 10 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
C. Taylor 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mangano * 33 7-13 0-1 3-5 12 1 0 7 2 17 22 -
J. Kreisberg * 30 5-7 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 1 13 14 -
R. Willhite * 29 3-11 0-3 2-2 6 3 5 1 1 8 11 -
P. Braswell * 29 1-5 1-3 5-8 7 2 0 0 0 8 12 -
A. Morgan * 28 1-10 0-4 0-2 1 4 2 0 4 2 -5 -
R. Anderson 16 0-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
S. Martin 16 4-6 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 8 5 -
R. Mantilla 11 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Grace 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Salafia 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Pritchard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter