Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.4% | 50.6% | +0.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Hines * | 33 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Tony Mitchell * | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Charvez Davis * | 28 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| JaMychal Green * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Trevor Releford * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Senario Hillman | 29 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ben Eblen | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Steele | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Charles Hankerson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Wallace * | 32 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Gabriel * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Chris Denson * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Allen Payne * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Earnest Ross | 33 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Adrian Forbes | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tony Neysmith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Langford | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ty Armstrong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter