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2011-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Butler Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Margin 8.1% 91.9% +13.4 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 6.9% 93.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“

Actual: Butler Bulldogs +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryquis Perine * 38 4-12 0-4 3-3 3 4 1 0 0 11 7 -
Rahmon Fletcher * 33 7-15 1-5 3-4 3 3 3 0 1 18 11 -
Daniel Turner * 33 2-6 0-2 1-3 6 1 0 0 1 5 5 -
Alec Brown * 20 4-6 1-1 0-1 5 1 0 1 0 9 10 -
Jarvis Williams * 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Steve Baker 30 7-11 4-5 2-3 9 0 0 0 2 20 16 -
Clayton Heuer 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
Seth Evans 15 1-1 1-1 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 3 7 -
Greg LeSage 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shelvin Mack * 34 5-13 1-3 3-8 5 4 1 0 4 14 7 -
Matt Howard * 34 8-16 0-1 13-17 16 1 0 0 1 29 29 -
Shawn Vanzant * 30 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
Andrew Smith * 26 5-5 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 12 9 -
Ronald Nored * 24 0-1 0-0 3-5 2 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
Zach Hahn 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
Khyle Marshall 20 4-7 0-0 0-3 3 3 1 1 0 8 9 -
Chase Stigall 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Alex Anglin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter