Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.2% | 19.8% | -7.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 0 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| A. Barrett | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | - |
| L. Kizer | 0 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. Hawkins | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Tchatchouang | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 8 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kellum | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Egwu | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Shine | 0 | 5-17 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Franklin | 0 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| L. Gerson | 0 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
* = starter