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Portland Pilots 74
@
San Francisco Dons 81
2011-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% - ✓
Margin 10.9% 89.1% +11.6 ✓ (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - ✗
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✗
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% - ✗

Actual: San Francisco Dons +7 (81-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stohl * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 19 27 -
N. Mitrovic * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 11 17 -
L. Sikma * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 2 18 29 -
K. Knutson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 2 11 -
E. Waterford * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
T. Douglas 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 15 -
R. Nicholas 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Rodgers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Barker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Hannibal 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
T. Riley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 1 0 1 9 18 -
C. Doolin * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 1 1 14 21 -
M. Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 18 18 -
R. Green * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 7 12 -
P. Blackwell * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 2 0 1 12 24 -
M. Petrovic 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 10 13 -
M. Diarra 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 9 11 -
A. Johnson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Raffington 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter