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2011-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 6.1% 93.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.7% 87.3% - โœ“
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Watford * 32 4-11 0-3 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 10 3 -
Jordan Hulls * 32 7-12 2-4 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 16 9 -
Verdell Jones * 31 6-12 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 2 15 9 -
Jeremiah Rivers * 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Tom Pritchard * 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 6 -
Derek Elston 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Victor Oladipo 15 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Will Sheehey 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Matt Roth 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Moore 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Taylor * 39 9-15 3-6 7-7 8 4 2 0 1 28 26 -
Tim Jarmusz * 35 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 5 -
Jon Leuer * 33 8-18 1-3 3-3 4 2 0 2 1 20 9 -
Keaton Nankivil * 27 2-4 0-1 5-6 7 0 0 2 1 9 13 -
Josh Gasser * 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 2 -
Mike Bruesewitz 27 2-4 0-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Wquinton Smith 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
Robert Wilson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jared Berggren 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Evans 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter