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2011-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.3% 79.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Watkins 0 3-10 1-2 2-2 3 2 3 0 4 9 3 -
J. Townsend 0 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Daniels 0 3-4 0-0 4-6 4 1 2 1 2 10 12 -
C. Ricketts 0 11-21 4-7 3-4 3 3 1 0 2 29 13 -
L. Harris 0 0-8 0-5 2-4 5 2 1 0 4 2 -2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Smith 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 3 2 -
H. Tuomi 0 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 0 -4 -
C. Brown 0 6-8 5-7 0-2 2 5 0 0 2 17 14 -
J. Rhoads 0 3-9 0-0 7-10 9 5 0 0 2 13 16 -
J. Coleman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter