Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +35.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +43 (98-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornelius Chatt * | 31 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Michael Messer * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Stineman * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Bundalo * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| David Boarden * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Corey Wickware | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Cody Rincker | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dobrivoje Mavrak | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| LeShaun Murphy | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Mitchell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Schneider | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Capocci * | 27 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Michael Thompson * | 18 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 16 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 11 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Ivan Peljusic | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Reggie Hearn | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Austin Nichols | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter