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2011-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 31.6% 68.4% +4.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.5% 59.5% - โœ“

Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors +10 (62-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Smith * 32 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 0 4 10 10 -
Tim Steed * 31 2-10 0-1 1-2 5 4 0 2 1 5 5 -
Steven Shepp * 31 3-8 2-5 0-1 4 5 1 0 0 8 10 -
Nedeljko Golubovic * 29 6-11 0-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 13 9 -
Garrett Johnson * 27 5-12 4-10 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 5 -
Kevin Olekaibe 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Bracken Funk 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Tyler Johnson 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
Jonathan Wills 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
John Ryan 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bennie Rhodes 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vander Joaquim * 36 4-8 0-0 5-7 10 0 1 2 1 13 17 -
Zane Johnson * 35 3-11 3-8 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 9 5 -
Hiram Thompson * 29 1-5 0-0 0-2 2 5 1 0 2 2 3 -
Bill Amis * 28 4-9 0-0 3-4 10 1 0 1 2 11 12 -
Joston Thomas * 22 5-13 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 0 0 12 7 -
Bo Barnes 24 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 12 7 -
Jeremiah Ostrowski 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 3 3 3 -
Trevor Wiseman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter