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Cal Poly Mustangs 65
@
UC Riverside Highlanders 60
2011-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - ✗
Margin 37.9% 62.1% +2.7 ✗ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✓
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% - ✓

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Donahue 36 2-3 0-0 0-0 14 1 1 0 2 4 15 -
David Hanson 34 8-10 4-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 21 15 -
Chris O'Brien 31 2-8 1-5 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
Maliik Love 28 1-4 0-1 2-3 2 2 2 0 0 4 6 -
Shawn Lewis 24 3-8 1-4 4-4 3 2 3 0 1 11 10 -
Matt Titchenal 18 3-9 3-7 0-2 0 2 0 0 0 9 2 -
Jamal Johnson 18 4-8 3-7 0-1 1 3 0 0 1 11 6 -
Jordan Lewis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javon Borum 37 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 3 1 0 2 10 10 -
Kareem Nitoto 35 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 1 0 1 1 3 5 -
Phil Martin 31 6-14 1-5 1-1 3 2 0 1 2 14 4 -
Kevin Bradshaw 24 4-8 0-0 3-5 4 0 0 0 2 11 5 -
B.J. Shearry 22 3-7 0-0 2-3 3 2 1 1 1 8 7 -
Elliott Berry 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
Tyquan Brown 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 2 7 -
Delonte Taylor 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Daymond Cowlah 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter