Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.5 | ✗ (6.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -5 (60-65). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donahue | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| David Hanson | 34 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maliik Love | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Shawn Lewis | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Matt Titchenal | 18 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 18 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Borum | 37 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Phil Martin | 31 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Kevin Bradshaw | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B.J. Shearry | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Tyquan Brown | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Delonte Taylor | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter