Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Donahue | 36 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| D. Hanson | 34 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Love | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Lewis | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 18 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 18 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Lewis | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Borum | 37 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| K. Nitoto | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P. Martin | 31 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Bradshaw | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B.J. Shearry | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Berry | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Brown | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Taylor | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Cowlah | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter