Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (86-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harper Kamp | 39 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jorge Gutierrez | 38 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Allen Crabbe | 34 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Smith | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Markhuri Sanders-Frison | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Richard Solomon | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Emerson Murray | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bak Bak | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nigel Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reeves Nelson | 37 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Malcolm Lee | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Honeycutt | 34 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Lazeric Jones | 33 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 10-12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Jerime Anderson | 16 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Stover | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Lane | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Lamb | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joshua Smith | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter