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2011-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Seattle U Redhawks Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 โœ— (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.4% 66.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -7 (68-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle U Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Garrett Lever 34 2-2 0-0 2-5 4 4 6 0 4 6 14 -
Aaron Broussard 32 5-18 0-0 12-16 5 0 3 0 4 22 8 -
Cervante Burrell 27 5-13 0-1 10-12 10 2 2 0 4 20 17 -
Gavin Gilmore 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Brandon Durham 22 1-3 0-0 1-5 6 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Chad Rasmussen 21 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Sterling Carter 19 5-11 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 12 5 -
Alex Jones 16 2-6 0-2 4-5 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
Taylor Stevens 3 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vinnie McGhee 24 2-8 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 2 -
Dathan Lyles 23 4-8 2-5 0-0 2 4 2 1 3 10 8 -
Allen Jiles 20 0-3 0-0 0-2 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Raymond Cody 19 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 7 6 -
Lenny Daniel 19 2-2 0-0 5-12 6 0 0 2 5 9 10 -
Aqeel Quinn 17 2-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 5 8 3 -
Josh Greene 16 4-10 0-4 1-3 1 2 0 0 1 9 1 -
Jordan Mitchell 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 1 0 4 -
John Hayward-Mayhew 16 3-4 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 0 2 8 9 -
Frankie Eteuati 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 2 1 4 11 -
Michael Lizarraga 15 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 7 7 -

* = starter