Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josten Crow * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Drae Murray * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Gilberto Clavell * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Marcus Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Antuan Bootle * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Lance Pevehouse | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Nafis Richardson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Marcus James | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Byron Randle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Jones * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| J.B. Conley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Rios * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| John Bowman * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Uriel Segura | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Ryan White | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 37 | - |
| Tony Bishop | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Matt Staff | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter