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2011-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd West Virginia Mountaineers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% - โœ—
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 โœ— (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 28.1% 71.9% - โœ—

Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers -4 (71-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Pitts * 36 6-13 3-8 10-11 4 5 0 1 2 25 20 -
D. Kane * 32 5-11 3-6 5-12 3 0 0 1 3 18 8 -
T. Baines * 28 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 3 8 3 -
N. Spikes * 11 2-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Thomas * 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Johnson 28 2-7 1-4 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 7 3 -
D. Pena 27 2-7 1-5 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. Williams 23 0-1 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 0 1 1 6 -
J. Higgins 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
O. Allen 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

West Virginia Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dan Jennings 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
Kevin Jones * 35 3-9 1-4 2-2 6 1 1 1 0 9 9 -
Casey Mitchell * 34 5-17 3-9 5-5 4 0 2 0 4 18 3 -
John Flowers * 33 4-6 2-2 6-8 7 1 1 1 2 16 18 -
Darryl Bryant * 22 1-6 1-5 7-8 2 3 1 0 4 10 6 -
Joe Mazzulla 33 2-7 0-3 6-7 8 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
Deniz Kilicli 21 4-10 0-0 0-3 4 1 0 1 1 8 3 -
Cam Thoroughman 9 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Dalton Pepper 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jonnie West 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter