Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (68-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Evan Washington * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tom Fow * | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Derek Brooks | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay * | 39 | 7-13 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| K. Leonard * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Thomas * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. White * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Rahon | 16 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
* = starter