Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hill * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Ekey * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Carmichael * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Wilkins * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Cousin * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Rubin | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - |
| T. Blue | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Mishler | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Lewis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| J. Clark | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Z. Upshaw | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rice * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 25 | - |
| R. Wedel * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 26 | - |
| B. Simons * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Clarke * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| K. Woods * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Parker | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Hawley | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Uhlenhopp | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Alexander | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Smith | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter