Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green * | 33 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Roe * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Appling * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Lucas * | 28 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 29 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 24 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Kebler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sherman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis * | 38 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| D. McCamey * | 37 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Tisdale * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Cole * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Paul | 26 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Richmond | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Leonard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter