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2011-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% - โœ—
Margin 74.8% 25.2% -6.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% - โœ—

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Knight * 40 5-15 3-8 1-2 4 3 3 0 3 14 6 -
Doron Lamb * 39 6-14 2-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 16 4 -
Darius Miller * 31 5-8 2-3 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 12 10 -
DeAndre Liggins * 31 1-4 0-1 2-4 1 4 1 2 0 4 8 -
Josh Harrellson * 21 1-6 0-0 1-4 9 0 0 2 0 3 8 -
Terrence Jones 31 5-13 0-2 7-10 9 2 2 3 4 17 16 -
Jon Hood 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Eloy Vargas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Hines * 34 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 3 1 2 3 7 14 -
JaMychal Green * 33 7-15 0-0 4-7 11 1 0 2 6 18 11 -
Trevor Releford * 33 2-8 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 1 -
Charvez Davis * 31 3-10 3-8 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 9 0 -
Tony Mitchell * 25 5-9 2-3 3-4 7 0 2 1 0 15 16 -
Senario Hillman 23 3-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 4 7 2 -
Andrew Steele 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Ben Eblen 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 3 4 -

* = starter