Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.4% | 34.6% | -3.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zack Novak * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Darius Morris * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Stu Douglass | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jon Horford | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Blake McLimans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colton Christian | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Josh Bartelstein | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eso Akunne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Thompson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| JerShon Cobb * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| John Shurna * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Mike Capocci | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Austin Nichols | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Hearn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ivan Peljusic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter